Experts said other factors will likely come into play, including the possible entry of other candidates and how voters feel about President Joe Biden at the midpoint of his administration. “Arizona is a fundamentally purple state,” said Miles Coleman, associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at UVA’s Center for Politics. “But if things get worse for Biden, it could look more like a fundamentally pink state, which would help Brnovich or whoever the Republican nominee is.”