"I think Republicans are aware of the symbolic importance of this seat, and we’ve seen Congressional Leadership Fund, the big outside GOP group connected to the speaker, spend here to protect Bryan Steil against Randy Bryce," said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. "But this is not a seat that national Democrats are counting on to win the majority. Ultimately, the district is just fairly right of center, so even as an open seat you’d rather be the Republican here than the Democrat."