Washington Post A U.S. recession looks less likely in 2020, boosting Trump's chances of reelection How the economy fares in spring 2020 is likely to play a large role in Trump’s reelection chances, according to election experts such as Larry Sabato of UVA’s Center for Politics. https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/04/17/us-recession-looks-less-likely-boosting-trumps-chances-re-election/?utm_term=.c258a0c904b8