(Editorial) On Oct. 21, UVA’s Biocomplexity Institute projected 8,394 new COVID-19 cases in the state for the week ending Nov. 22. This predicted surge, about 1,400 new cases a day, seemed excessive at the time. After all, at the summer’s peak, the virus was infecting a few more than 1,000 a day. Today, 1,400 new cases would seem like a very good day indeed.