Pitfalls. Peril. Prosperity.
Miller Center Offers Insights for Next President’s Crucial First Year
George W. Bush
Abraham Lincoln
George H.W. Bush
Bill Clinton
Ronald Reagan
Harry S. Truman
Lyndon B. Johnson
John F. Kennedy
It is important for this next president to be strategic about what he or she can get done in the first year.
-William Antholis, director of the Miller Center for Public Affairs
We know the Oval Office recordings better than any organization in the country. We can go into those conversations and pull out historical lessons.
The next president, even if he or she is an ‘outsider’ candidate, will turn to insiders who have been in these situations before.
As an organization, we are connecting a network and providing a regular service, with unique assets that are nonpartisan and bipartisan.
Pick the President
Test your presidential knowledge and see what advice the First Year Project’s essayists have for the next president
Pick the President
Rather than negating his Democratic predecessor’s legislative record, which Republican president actually expanded upon it?
Richard Nixon
Theodore Roosevelt
Calvin Coolidge
Dwight D. Eisenhower
In 1954, with bipartisan cooperation, Eisenhower extended Social Security to many parts of society that the initial statute did not cover, including large numbers of African-Americans and women.
Since then, Washington has become ever more polarized, and the next president is likely to face a Congress controlled by opponents. Eisenhower provides a good example of cultivating relationships with members of both parties to pass important legislation.
Pick the President
Which president compromised his political power by appointing too many personal connections?
Herbert Hoover
Ronald Reagan
Jimmy Carter
William Taft
Carter’s “Georgia mafia” found Washington unfamiliar and, soon enough, unfriendly. Carter’s presidency suffered as a consequence. Reagan, by contrast, created a “troika” consisting of two loyalists from California and Washington pro James Baker. Reagan’s administration got off to a fast start and ran smoothly with Baker as chief of staff.
In selecting individuals for their administrations, presidents should balance their personal connections to appointees with appointees’ experience of government. This is especially important for presidents with little personal experience of life in Washington.
Pick the President
Which president combined competing legislation from rival political entities into a single package that pleased them all—and became an American institution?
Lyndon B. Johnson
Franklin D. Roosevelt
John Q. Adams
John F. Kennedy
Johnson combined proposals from his administration, Republicans, and the American Medical Association—all of which had been viewed as separate and exclusive of each other—into what we now know as Medicare Part A.
As Johnson’s legacy shows, first-year presidents can develop new policy opportunities if they remain open to changes in approach, particularly by combining opposing ideas.
Pick the President
Which president proclaimed in his inaugural address, “We have called by different names brethren of the same principle. We are all Republicans, we are all Federalists”?
James Madison
Martin Van Buren
James K. Polk
Thomas Jefferson
Jefferson said this in his first inaugural address, after a bitter election that had split the nation.
In the words of essayist H.W. Brands: “Jefferson didn’t mean it, and no one believed it. But the gesture was graceful and might have kept some congressional Federalists from cutting off their noses to spite their faces when Jefferson asked for their support in the purchase of Louisiana.”
It won’t always be easy, but try to retain a relatively charitable view of your political adversaries. Keep in mind that you were elected to represent the entire nation.
Pick the President
Which President allowed his administration to be paralyzed for several months over the social life of a cabinet member’s wife?
Abraham Lincoln
Andrew Jackson
Franklin Pierce
Benjamin Harrison
Jackson was close friends with his secretary of state, John Eaton. Eaton’s second wife, Peg, was a recent widow, and was rumored to have had an affair with Eaton prior to her previous husband’s death. This “checkered background” scandalized the wives of the other members of Jackson’s Cabinet. The Eatons were frozen out of Washington social life, with Jackson stridently supporting his friend, refusing to call for his resignation. The resulting conflict was known as “the Petticoat affair,” and paralyzed the administration for months.
The key takeaway: Friends ought to be loyal to friends, but presidents should be loyal only to the national interest.
Thanks for playing!
For more information on the Miller Center and the First Year Project, visit: