A model created by researchers at UVA’s Biocomplexity Institute predicts local numbers will continue to rise until the end of February. The forecast predicts that on the week of Feb. 21, Charlottesville will see 1,259 new confirmed cases. “In Charlottesville, cases are growing,” the researchers wrote. “However, viruses are difficult to forecast and this is just one potential path. One outbreak – or one outbreak avoided – can set us down a very different path. The future course of COVID-19 depends on all of us.”