The 2016 election could come down to just seven swing states, or virtually the same Electoral College map from the last presidential election, says analyst Larry Sabato, but that doesn't mean the Democratic Party already has a clear advantage going into the race. "The past is often not a good guide to the future," said Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, in a column written for Politico along with Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley, the managing editor and associate editor for Sabato's Crystal Ball.