A report released Dec. 18 on a University of Virginia COVID-19 model said the post-Thanksgiving surge led to a substantial spike in virus projections. The new estimated peak, according to the model, would occur the week of Feb. 8 with 14,000 new cases per day – nearly 14 times the summer’s peak of 1,079 daily cases and almost four times the current average of 3,564 new cases per day.