Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics moved Senate races in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada from the “lean Democratic” column to “toss-ups.”
Youngkin was also able to harness more general dissatisfaction among suburban parents — an important part of Democrats’ coalition last year — whose children could not attend in-person learning for much of the COVID-19 pandemic. Forty-five percent of working parents in northern Virginia said supporting their children’s education made work more difficult, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll in July. “Youngkin winning these college-educated white voters who are skeptical of Trump indicates Biden’s approval is likely slipping with these same types of groups in key battleground metropo...
(Video) CNN’s Rosemary Church speaks with Larry Sabato, political scientist and Director at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, on what he thinks of the result of the Virginia’s governor race.
Political analyst J. Miles Coleman at the UVA Center for Politics says it came down to Biden’s approval rate slipping, and Democrats failing to pass bills in Washington, D.C. “One of the big lessons of this election: Persuasion still matters,” said Coleman.
“The turnout across the board, especially in Republican strongholds, was really something else,” said J. Miles Coleman, with the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
“The bottom line is that this is about Biden,” said Kyle Kondik of the non-partisan University of Virginia Center for Politics. “If the political environment is like this next year, you expect the Republicans to win both the House and the Senate.”
“To the extent that the indecisiveness in Washington mattered, perhaps it makes Biden look less effective and maybe contributed in some marginal way to his low approval rating,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
Relative to Northam, McAuliffe’s share of the vote consistently declined more in the southern half of the state, an area with relatively fewer college graduates, than it did in more white-collar Northern Virginia. “An engaged GOP base delivered Republicans even bigger landslides than usual in rural central and western Virginia,” the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics wrote in its analysis of the results yesterday. “In 2013, McAuliffe lost the 9th Congressional District, in the southwestern corner of the state, by about 30 percentage points. Last night … McAuliffe’s deficit there fell...
If past is prologue, the burdens of the moment on the electorate could prove too heavy a lift even if Biden gets what he wants. “Historically speaking, passing big legislation does not lead to electoral success,” said Kyle Kondik, an elections analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. “Voters just often won’t reward those things and sometimes they punish aggressive legislating.”
(Commentary by Joy Milligan, professor of law) Destin Jenkins’ compelling book, “Bonds of Inequality: Debt and the Making of the American City,” helps us better understand how municipal debt deepened racial and economic inequality in the United States over the last century.
The UVA Health Vaccination Center will have appointments for children at the Battle Building on West Main Street. To make an appointment, call 434-297-4829.
(Video) Interview with pharmacy manage Justin Vesser about expanding COVID vaccinations to children ages 5 to 11 and other pharmacy matters.
Piedmont Virginia Community College will expand its associate degree nursing program by 50 students each year starting in January, bringing the annual enrollment to 150. The increase was in response to a request by the UVA Medical Center, and the goal is to graduate more nurses and to have two graduation cycles, one in May and one in December, so hospitals don’t have to wait a full year for new graduates. PVCC President Frank Freidman said the expansion would not be possible if the UVA Medical Center and an anonymous donor hadn’t contributed a total of $700,000 to pay for three years of start-...
The University of Virginia has been recognized as one of the most environmentally responsible colleges in the United States. According to a release, the Princeton Review gave UVA a score of 93 points out of a possible 99 in its Guide to Green Colleges: 2022 Edition.
Elementary students who need some help with their literacy skills can now get some help from local law enforcement agencies. Beginning this week, the Albemarle County and UVA police departments will be facilitating a tutoring program with the Life Enrichment Center.
The transition to civilian life can be a battle. Alex Espinoza was a sergeant in the U.S. Army for six years, including two deployments to Iraq and Syria. He is now studying at the University of Virginia and he says it’s been a challenging change of pace. But new friends are helping him navigate this journey, especially the students at the UVA Veteran Center who share a similar experience to his.
“The ideal vaccine is one which, after just a single dose, provides lifelong immunity to disease,” said Dr. Patrick Jackson, a UVA infectious disease expert. “Unfortunately, it’s hard to get the immune system to mount a highly active and long-lasting response if it only sees its new target once.”
Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman, of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, are not betting. In a Monday post to the center’s Sabato’s Crystal Ball, they said the results favor McAuliffe, sort of. “The race has been very close for a long time, based on our understanding of both public and private polling and modeling,” they wrote. “We kept the race at ‘leans Democratic’ anyway because, even in a close race, we’ve come to believe that a state’s baseline partisanship can break ties in favor of the state’s stronger party — which is the Democrats in Virginia.”
In looking at the candidates to be the next governor of Virginia, the UVA Center for Politics says the image of the outsider could impact the race. J. Miles Coleman comments on Glenn Youngkin’s race, comparing him to former President Donald Trump. “Kind of this profile of the outsider businessman has really played well on the Republican side,” he said. “I mean, you think of people like Trump, you think of other governors across the South, the country, they really like this image of the reformer, outsider businessman.”
(Commentary) Some 16 years later, will a tight race for governor end so quietly, with little to no controversy? Or will the losing side act more like the losers of the 2020 presidential election did? Last week I put those questions to two longtime observers of Virginia politics. One’s Larry Sabato, a UVA professor and director of its Center for Politics. The other is Bob Holsworth, founding director of Virginia Commonwealth University’s Center for Public Policy. Both said they doubted the governor’s race in Virginia would wind up in the kind of anarchy that occurred in Washington in January. B...