With growing signs in the polls that Clinton will prevail in the election, it seems almost inconceivable that Trump would acknowledge the legitimacy of the next president. “Yeah, a concession is hard to imagine,” said Larry Sabato, director of UVA’s Center for Politics. “Trump has already lined up his bad guys: crooked Hillary, globalists, the media except for Sean Hannity, voter fraud, and so on. His base won't accept his loss either. The Republic will survive, but we won't come together after the election.”
A new poll from Christopher Newport University shows Hillary Clinton's lead growing over Donald Trump in Virginia. "It's a pretty amazing situation because Virginia in the last two presidential elections has been sort of the bellwether of the country. Its outcome has most closely matched the national outcome in popular vote,” Geoffrey Skelley of UVA’s Center for Politics said.
As of now, the Keystone State is the steepest climb for Republicans of the four must-wins. Clinton sits with an 8.4-point lead as of Friday, and Trump hasn’t led in a major poll for months. Geoffrey Skelley, a UVA political analyst, pointed to a recent Bloomberg poll that showed Trump down by a margin of 28 points in the four suburban Philadelphia counties. With Clinton expected to clean up in Philadelphia and Trump looking better in the rural part of the state, those suburban counties are more important than ever.
“There have certainly been candidates who toyed with apocalyptic language – Teddy Roosevelt running for the GOP nomination in 1912 comes to mind – but none has made questioning the validity of the election a centerpiece of his campaign,” said Nicole Hemmer, an assistant professor in presidential studies at UVA’s Miller Center. “There’s just no useful historical precedent that I’ve come across, certainly not at the national level. Historians hesitate to label things unprecedented, but the word is certainly getting a workout this election.”
While Trump’s poll numbers nationally and in swing states were dropping last week, the polling for GOP candidates who still back Trump, and those who withdrew their support, stayed much the same as they did before Trump’s controversial remarks. “It doesn’t feel like a whole lot has changed yet,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia.
It’s long been clear that the political opportunism and cynicism of American leaders were alienating voters. Only in this presidential campaign season has it become glaringly obvious that class divisions and economic gaps are driving that wedge as well. Now a UVA report confirms those dynamics and helps explain them as well.
UVA’s Young Women’s Leadership Program – a community-based mentoring program that pairs UVA students with middle school girls from the Charlottesville area – held its annual food drive on Sunday to benefit the Blue Ridge Area Food Bank.
Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson will be at UVA’s Miller Center on Monday to tape an interview with “American Forum,” the center’s weekly public affairs program.
Innovation at UVA was the subject of the latest “More Than the Score” lecture at Alumni Hall, organized by the University’s Lifetime Learning program before UVA’s football game with the University of Pittsburgh on Saturday.
In one of UVA’s original buildings, not far from Thomas Jefferson’s Rotunda, a group of students took part in one of the University’s most cherished pastimes: political debate. The topic of this debate, on Wednesday evening at Jefferson Hall, was the future of the Republican Party.
(By Alan Taylor, UVA professor of history) Politicians praise America’s founders for having set guiding and enduring principles. Donald J. Trump declares that global free trade “is a direct affront to our founding fathers, who wanted America to be strong, independent and free.” Hillary Clinton counters, “Our founders embraced the enduring truth that we are stronger together.” But that raises questions: Which founders, and which principles?
Obama was correct in saying that the refugee screening process is more rigorous that the tourist screening process, at least in theory. But does it always turn out that way in real life? David Martin, a UVA professor of law, said Obama’s statement is accurate. "The procedures are not merely theoretical," he said. "DHS has worked hard to develop procedures and effective lines of inquiry specific to refugee populations, and they are fully employed."
Nicole Hemmer, an assistant professor at UVA’s Miller Center, said Trump looks to be reversing an old sea adage – the ship should go down with the captain. "It's hard to say how far down this path he'll go," Hemmer said. "There's a month left, and he has signaled that he's willing to keep excavating until he finds rock bottom. I suspect there's a great deal of unpleasantness in store."
Below is a video of Dr. Bruce Greyson speaking at a conference that was held by the United Nations. He is considered to be one of the fathers of near-death studies, and is a professor emeritus of psychiatry and neurobehavioral science at UVA. In the video he describes documented cases of individuals who were clinically dead, but observing everything that was happening to them on the medical table below at the same time.
“Both houses are doable for Democrats. But the Senate is obviously much easier for them, and even that isn't a slam-dunk,” said Larry Sabato, an election analyst at UVA. “In both cases, the prerequisite is a large Clinton victory margin.”
Larry Sabato, the UVA political scientist, doesn't "see how you can understand what's really going on without reading them each morning. Maybe less has changed in the political media world than we've all thought."
It's especially difficult to project turnout this year, said Geoffrey Skelley, associate editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, the UVA Center for Politics’ newsletter on campaigns. Polls show Americans are watching the race more closely than previous ones, but are also more turned off by what they see, he said.It's especially difficult to project turnout this year, said Geoffrey Skelley, associate editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, the UVA Center for Politics’ newsletter on campaigns. Polls show Americans are watching the race more closely than previous ones, but are also ...
UVA’s Miller Center found that by 2024, Medicaid’s share of the total state spending would be 14.3 percent, up from 11 percent in the 2013 fiscal year.
A popular UVA tradition is back Saturday, just in time for Homecoming Weekend, and it’s stacking up plenty of intergenerational appeal. The 13th annual Pancakes for Parkinson’s event will serve up fresh pancakes from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m. Saturday on the UVA Lawn. The flapjacks are free, and all donations will go to the Michael J. Fox Foundation to help raise awareness of Parkinson’s disease and support research to find a cure.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has awarded more than $14 million to institutions including UVA to fund innovative approaches to combat antibiotic resistance, including research on the use of microbiomes – naturally occurring microbes in the human body – to predict and prevent infections caused by drug-resistant organisms.