Larry Sabato, who runs UVA’s Center for Politics, appeared on “Fox and Friends” to humbly acknowledge that his ballyhooed “Sabato’s Crystal Ball” failed him and the public. “That ball is shattered in a thousand pieces,” Mr. Sabato said. “I’ve got to order a new one.”
Larry Sabato, director of UVA’s Centre for Politics (and arguably the foremost expert in American elections) predicted Clinton to win 322 Electoral College votes.
“I don’t think that there is anything in historical memory that approaches the kind of surprise that occurred last night with somebody coming into office with as meager a public track record as this person did,” said Russell Riley, chair of the Presidential Oral History Program at UVA’s Miller Center.
In a final projection posted Monday, UVA Professor Larry Sabato predicted an easy win for Clinton with 322 Electoral College votes.
UVA’s “Crystal Ball” has egg all over it. It forecast that Democrat Hillary Clinton would win the White House and her party would regain control of the U.S. Senate in Tuesday’s elections. Geoff Skelley of the UVA Center for Politics says he and the other Crystal Ball forecasters expected fewer Republicans would cast ballots for Trump.
The glass ceiling did not break Tuesday night, but the Crystal Ball shattered. Larry Sabato, director of UVA’’s Center for Politics, and colleagues Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley issued an apologia on Wednesday titled “Mea Culpa, Mea Culpa, Mea Maxima Culpa.”
Northeast Ohio native Kyle Kondik, a political analyst at UVA’s Center for Politics, literally wrote the book on this subject. It’s called “The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President.” On Tuesday night, Kondik in a Twitter post seemed to contemplate reassessing his view of the state. “Bellwether no more?” Kondik wrote. “Ohio votes for the winner for 29th time in 31 elections, but GOP lean relative to nation will be biggest of postwar era.”
Pollsters were left red-faced. “We blew it,” wrote UVA politics professor Larry Sabato and his fellow analysts in an online post entitled: “Mea Culpa, Mea Culpa, Mea Maxima Culpa.”
A UVA political team that prides itself on accurate election predictions is apologizing for getting the presidential race wrong for the first time in its history.
At the UVA’s Center for Politics, Larry Sabato has established a remarkable track record. He’s never been wrong in predicting the next president, and he’s rarely missed the mark in lesser races. This year, that was not the case.
Agence France-Presse talked with UVA political professor Larry Sabato, director of the school’s Center for Politics and author of Sabato’s Crystal Ball which, like most forecasters, had predicted a Clinton victory. Many pollsters weight their samples based on the electorate as it was composed in prior election contests, according to Sabato. That proved their undoing, because polls simply underestimated the number of quiet, poll-avoiding Trump supporters out there.
“Barack Obama is well on his way to becoming the most harmful to his sub-presidential party of all modern chief executives,” UVA politics guru Larry Sabato wrote that December [2014].
As UVA’s Larry Sabato, the Obama era cost Democrats 11 governorships, 13 U.S. Senate seats, 69 House seats and 913 legislative seats(!).
As part of The Medical Center Hour at the UVA School of Medicine, dozens attended a discussion about the future of health care reform following Tuesday's election.
Third place went to the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business.
Several media outlets have already shared their rankings of the top universities and colleges in the United States. However, some question whether a school’s quality of education can actually be quantifiable. It was previously reported that University of California-Berkeley is deemed as the best public national university in the United States. University of California-Los Angeles and the University of Virginia both came in second place on the list.
Kelsey Johnson, a UVA astrophysicist, asked about 400 sixth-grade girls from Southwest Virginia Monday to draw a picture of a scientist. Johnson showed the girls a slide with about a dozen pictures of male scientists. “If your drawing looks like this, scribble it out,” she said. “Draw another scientist. Draw yourself doing science. Your drawing of you doing science is going to be awesome.”
The 29th Annual Virginia Film Festival drew a larger audience than ever before.
Health care professionals in Central Virginia are already discussing the impact Donald Trump’s presidency could have on the Affordable Care Act.
(By Emily Temple, 2016 M.F.A. alumna) Literature has been proven to enhance our abilities for empathy, and empathy is what this country needs. We need many, many, other things, of course. But empathy would be a good start. To that end, find below a collection of some early responses from our literary thinkers.