The recent revelations about Donald Trump's taxes will not hurt him with his base, a top political analyst said Monday. Larry Sabato, director of UVA’s Center for Politics, said there is "not a chance" that Trump's huge reported 1995 loss and possible years of getting shielded from income taxes would affect how his strong supporters view him. He said Trump's statement that he could "stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody" without losing voters may not have taken it far enough. "I actually think he could shoot multiple people and, as long...
Despite being a perennial battleground, Ohio may look very different this year from previous elections, thanks the peculiarities of Trump's candidacy. Trump is picking up votes in traditionally Democratic parts of the state, like the blue collar Mahoning Valley around Youngstown, while he seems to be turning off college voters in traditionally Republican suburbs around major cities. "It's easy to imagine there being some big swings from 2012 in different parts of Ohio, but it may be that those swings largely cancel themselves out, giving Clinton a path to win the state despite Tru...
Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte’s independent streak was put to the test Monday in the first televised debate of a neck-and-neck New Hampshire race that could determine party control of the Senate. Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia, said the New Hampshire race might ultimately hinge on whether Mrs. Clinton meets or exceeds President Obama’s 5.5-point margin of victory in 2012.
Political analysts, including Republicans opposed to Trump, noted he has had bad weeks before and may be exhibiting a pattern. Nicole Hemmer, an assistant professor at UVA’s Miller Center, said there was no way to predict what would happen during the last five weeks of the election.
A showdown between two middle-aged white men that some Twitter users predict will be akin to "watching paint dry," the goal of this debate is to go easy on the zingers and woo undecided voters. "Given the polarizing nature of the two major-party nominees and the incredible attention paid to each of them, the vice presidential debate in 2016 may be even more of a sideshow than it normally is," said Geoffrey Skelley of UVA’s Center for Politics.
(Commentary by Kyle Kondik, Political Analyst at UVA’sCenter for Politics) For the first time since Ohio rejected Kennedy in favor of Richard M. Nixon in 1960, it seems quite possible that the Buckeye State will find itself on the losing side of a presidential election this year.
In a 2016 study, researchers from University of California, Berkeley and UVA discovered that the highest indicating factor for teacher retention is whether or not teachers feel that they are part of a productive and meaningful community – one where their voices are heard, valued and collectively used to inform practices and policies on school campuses.
A second working paper released this summer, by UVA economist Jennifer Doleac and University of Oregon economist Benjamin Hansen, analyzed Labor Department data for U.S. cities, counties and states that had adopted ban-the-box policies. They found black and Hispanic men ages 25 to 34 and lacking college degrees were less likely to be employed after the laws took effect.
The TJPDC is finalizing an organizational study of the area’s transit agencies. That will be presented in November to a regional body known as the Planning and Community Council, made up of two city councilors, two Albemarle supervisors and top University of Virginia officials.
Many people are giving up on balancing religious and civil rights protections and instead are committing to "their side winning the culture war," said Douglas Laycock, a renowned religious freedom scholar and professor at the UVA School of Law, during a presentation at the Religion News Association's annual conference.
While at first glance it may be disheartening that children are absorbing the negativity of this election, Vikram Jaswal, the director of UVA’s Child Language and Learning Lab, saw a silver lining in the results.
Digital “brain-training” games promising to improve users’ memory, focus or attention and stave off mental decline simply don’t have enough solid evidence to make their ambitious claims, a wide-ranging review of scientific literature alleges. UVA psychology professor Daniel Willingham, who was not involved in the review, said the field suffers from a placebo effect that’s “bigger than anybody would have guessed.”
The UVA men’s basketball team has taken to social media to lend its support to combating racial inequality. Late Thursday, several Cavalier basketball players tweeted pictures of the entire team wearing black clothing while kneeling in unison with their arms locked together on a basketball court. Each of the players’ Twitter posts included the message “Kneel for Injustice. Kneel for Equality.” along with the photo.
Virginia snapped a 17-game road losing streak dating from 2012 with a 34-20 victory, sealed when freshman linebacker Jordan Mack pummeled Duke quarterback Daniel Jones in the end zone and defensive end Eli Hanback recovered the fumble with 4:24 remaining.
At the University of Virginia, where the men's basketball team posed together for a team photograph, on their knees, to support the cause, the head coach is backing the players. "Our guys realize there are a lot of issues going on in our country," said Tony Bennett, the head coach, in a statement to ESPN. "I support their desire to promote peace and equality."
Reincarnation is no doubt a fascinating subject, even within the scientific community. There are some great examples, many of which have been uncovered by UVA psychiatrist Jim Tucker, who is arguably the world’s leading researcher on this topic. In 2008, he published a review of cases that were suggestive of reincarnation in the journal Explore.
On Tuesday, the university that saw both the end of the Civil War and the beginning of the civil rights movement will host the 2016 election’s sole vice presidential debate. Putting on a debate is expensive and hard work for schools, said Larry J. Sabato, director of UVA’s Center for Politics. But it’s also “a wonderful thing.”
When Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican Mike Pence face off at Longwood University in Tuesday night’s vice presidential debate, it won’t be Virginia’s first rodeo when it comes to such national forums. But will the 90-minute debate in Farmville have any effect on this year’s election? “I don’t think it’s going to go down in history as the turning point in this campaign,” said Larry Sabato, a UVA political science professor and longtime campaign analyst.
Kyle Kondik, a former Ohioan now with UVA’s Center for Politics, said the bottom line is that Trump almost certainly needs Ohio to win, while Clinton can lose the state but, like John F. Kennedy in 1960, still win the election.