The glass ceiling did not break Tuesday night, but the Crystal Ball shattered. Larry Sabato, director of UVA’’s Center for Politics, and colleagues Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley issued an apologia on Wednesday titled “Mea Culpa, Mea Culpa, Mea Maxima Culpa.”
Northeast Ohio native Kyle Kondik, a political analyst at UVA’s Center for Politics, literally wrote the book on this subject. It’s called “The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President.” On Tuesday night, Kondik in a Twitter post seemed to contemplate reassessing his view of the state. “Bellwether no more?” Kondik wrote. “Ohio votes for the winner for 29th time in 31 elections, but GOP lean relative to nation will be biggest of postwar era.”
Pollsters were left red-faced. “We blew it,” wrote UVA politics professor Larry Sabato and his fellow analysts in an online post entitled: “Mea Culpa, Mea Culpa, Mea Maxima Culpa.”
A UVA political team that prides itself on accurate election predictions is apologizing for getting the presidential race wrong for the first time in its history.
At the UVA’s Center for Politics, Larry Sabato has established a remarkable track record. He’s never been wrong in predicting the next president, and he’s rarely missed the mark in lesser races. This year, that was not the case.
Agence France-Presse talked with UVA political professor Larry Sabato, director of the school’s Center for Politics and author of Sabato’s Crystal Ball which, like most forecasters, had predicted a Clinton victory. Many pollsters weight their samples based on the electorate as it was composed in prior election contests, according to Sabato. That proved their undoing, because polls simply underestimated the number of quiet, poll-avoiding Trump supporters out there.
“Barack Obama is well on his way to becoming the most harmful to his sub-presidential party of all modern chief executives,” UVA politics guru Larry Sabato wrote that December [2014].
As UVA’s Larry Sabato, the Obama era cost Democrats 11 governorships, 13 U.S. Senate seats, 69 House seats and 913 legislative seats(!).
As part of The Medical Center Hour at the UVA School of Medicine, dozens attended a discussion about the future of health care reform following Tuesday's election.
Third place went to the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business.
Several media outlets have already shared their rankings of the top universities and colleges in the United States. However, some question whether a school’s quality of education can actually be quantifiable. It was previously reported that University of California-Berkeley is deemed as the best public national university in the United States. University of California-Los Angeles and the University of Virginia both came in second place on the list.
Kelsey Johnson, a UVA astrophysicist, asked about 400 sixth-grade girls from Southwest Virginia Monday to draw a picture of a scientist. Johnson showed the girls a slide with about a dozen pictures of male scientists. “If your drawing looks like this, scribble it out,” she said. “Draw another scientist. Draw yourself doing science. Your drawing of you doing science is going to be awesome.”
The 29th Annual Virginia Film Festival drew a larger audience than ever before.
Health care professionals in Central Virginia are already discussing the impact Donald Trump’s presidency could have on the Affordable Care Act.
(By Emily Temple, 2016 M.F.A. alumna) Literature has been proven to enhance our abilities for empathy, and empathy is what this country needs. We need many, many, other things, of course. But empathy would be a good start. To that end, find below a collection of some early responses from our literary thinkers.
"People would say back in 1988 … ‘We wish we could vote for him [Reagan] for the third term,’ " Barbara Perry, director of UVA’s Miller Center presidential studies program, said. "I’ve heard that about Obama. I do think it’s partly that Americans are beginning already to be nostalgic about the presidents when they’re leaving office … and by comparison to the people running."
The atmosphere at the University of Virginia is a far cry from the centre of Detroit. It was founded in 1819 by Thomas Jefferson, the primary author of the Declaration of Independence. He was also an architect, and designed the stunning campus. Sidney Milkis, a professor at the UVA’s Department of Politics, said the university was known as a “genteel” place.
"Across the nation, Democrats are trying to nationalize their races because they think they can use Trump as a weapon," Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA’s Center for Politics, told Politico in September. "In this race, it's pretty clear Democrats are trying to localize, because Trump is not a drag, but an asset for Cole. This is one of the few places in the country where Republicans are more concerned with nationalizing a race than Democrats are."
If Kaine wins, “Virginia will be at the heart of the action for the next four years,” said Larry Sabato, head of UVA’s Center for Politics. Kaine, said Sabato, would be the “fundraiser-in-chief and patron saint of the Virginia (Democratic) Party.”
“It’s a debacle on the order of Dewey defeats Truman,” Larry Sabato, the UVA political scientist, told CNNMoney, referring to the famously incorrect headline that followed the 1948 presidential election.