When Stephen Baek, associate professor at the University of Virginia’s School of Data Science, talks about extreme physics, he isn’t referring to an obscure corner of science. He’s describing the powerful forces that touch everyday life – from a car’s airbags to rockets launching humans into space.
“These are the moments when physics pushes the limits,” Baek said. “Large forces, high velocities, sudden impacts – phenomena that happen too quickly, too dangerously or too rarely for us to study easily.”
Extreme physics shows up everywhere: in the explosive power of rocket fuel, the whiplash torque of a baseball pitcher’s arm or the delicate reliability of a car’s airbag. The challenge, Baek says, is these events are statistical outliers. They don’t happen often, and when they do, they are difficult to measure, making them notoriously hard to predict with traditional methods.

Stephen Baek, associate professor at the University of Virginia’s School of Data Science, explains that while machine learning finds patterns in big datasets, it often misses rare, high-stakes events. “If I predict tomorrow will be sunny, I’ll be right 99% of the time,” he said. “But I’ll miss the tornado.”
That is where artificial intelligence comes in.
From outliers to insights
In most cases, machine learning excels at finding patterns in large datasets like common weather patterns, typical disease progression and standard voter trends. But averages aren’t useful when the stakes are in the extremes. “If I predict tomorrow will be sunny, I’ll be right 99% of the time,” Baek said. “But I’ll miss the tornado.”
Baek and his colleagues are using AI to compensate for limited data, building algorithms that respect the laws of nature and predict the unpredictable.
“These models let us move past averages and study the rare, high-impact events,” Baek said. “They give us speed, precision and safety.”
Safer cars, faster rockets, stronger athletes
The applications extend from defense systems to daily commutes. Consider the explosive charges that inflate car airbags. They must reliably detonate on demand during a crash, but never in response to heat, cold or moisture. Ensuring that balance requires careful modeling of materials under extreme conditions.
Similar challenges face engineers designing rockets or using controlled blasts. “You want a guarantee that these materials are stable during transport and handling, but responsive when triggered,” Baek said.
Sports science provides other striking examples. Elite athletes like baseball’s Shohei Ohtani or Aaron Judge push human limits. Teams create digital “twins” of players – computer models that mimic an athlete’s movements – to replicate their biomechanics. By simulating subtle changes – an altered arm angle, a different stride – coaches can optimize performance and prevent injuries without compromising the player’s health.