His move sets the stage for a contest in one of the few competitive House districts left in the country. Immediately after his announcement, three political handicapping reports moved the seat from "safe" or "likely" Republican - based on Runyan's previous success - to "toss-up." "It goes from being not a very good Democratic pick-up opportunity to a great one," said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia.